Presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden is leading President Trump in five of six battleground states, according to a new poll released Wednesday.
Biden leads Trump by 6 points in Florida, 50 to 44 percent, and the former vice president leads by 5 points in Michigan, 48 to 43 percent, according to the “States of Play” survey from CNBC and Change Research. Biden is also up by 4 points in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, 48 to 44 percent and 47 to 43 percent, respectively.
The former vice president’s lead is slimmer in Arizona, where he is ahead of Trump, 45 to 44 percent.
Trump, meanwhile, holds a narrow lead over Biden in North Carolina, 48 to 47 percent.
The same survey showed Biden holding a 6-point advantage over Trump at the national level, 50 to 44 percent.
The poll also showed voters reacting negatively to Trump’s performance in the Oval Office, in particular, his handling of the coronavirus pandemic. Forty-six percent of voters said they approved of Trump’s job performance, while only 44 percent approve of his handling of the pandemic.
The findings are the latest in a slew of polls to show Biden leading Trump in states the president won in 2016, raising alarm bells for the president’s reelection campaign. The Trump campaign has honed in on a number of swing states, launching bus tours, releasing ads, and having the president travel to the states in hopes of boosting his chances in November.
The CNBC and Change Research “State of Play” survey was conducted Aug. 7-9 in Florida, Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Wisconsin among 2,701 likely general election voters. The margin of error is 1.89 percentage points.
The RealClearPolitics polling average showed Biden ahead of Trump by 6.9 points nationally on Wednesday.
Trump and Republicans are vulnerable on health care issues.
President Donald Trump on Monday acknowledged a prospective executive order he’s considering to make insurers cover pre-existing conditions amounted to political messaging — and that Obamacare already offered such protections.
“It’s a signal to people … it’s a second platform,” Trump said at a White House briefing. “Pre-existing conditions will be taken care of 100 percent by Republicans and the Republican party. I actually think it’s a very important statement.”
Meanwhile, voters rocked by the pandemic and the loss of tens of millions of jobs are increasingly supportive of strengthening the government’s safety net. Missouri last week became the sixth Republican-led state to defy GOP leaders and approve Medicaid expansion for some of its poorest adults,
What’s next: Trump could take yet more actions with Congress unable to reach a deal that could help the millions of Americans who are unemployed and facing evictions.
But Democrats are hitting Trump hard on health care in the final months of the 2020 campaign, both for his response to the pandemic and for policies like a payroll tax deferral they contend will weaken Medicare and other entitlement programs.
Trump’s tacit acknowledgment the prospective executive order was little more than messaging could intensify Democratic efforts to portray the president and GOP as not being serious about having a fallback to the 2010 health law.
BE SURE TO CHECK OUT THE “VIDEO” BELOW…….PapaMike
Lincoln Project, the Republican group behind a series of viral videos attacking President Donald Trump and his allies, have released a scathing new advertisement awarding Jared Kushner with 9a nickname: “Secretary Failure.”
The US political action committee, formed last year with the goal of removing Mr Trump and his administration from office, has largely focused on the president in the adverts unveiled throughout the 2020 campaign trail.
But the spotlight was put on his son-in-law in the latest clip, which condemns the White House senior adviser’s leadership during the Covid-19 pandemic, which has killed nearly 160,000 Americans and counting.
The advertisement, which runs just over one minute long, does not mince words. It begins by pointing out Mr Kushner’s involvement in the administration’s handling of the pandemic, stating: “President Trump gives lots of jobs to his son-in-law, Jared Kushner. Insiders whisper he may be even more powerful than Trump. But like his father-in-law, Jared’s not up to the task.”
“This pampered princeling has never met a problem he couldn’t f*** up,” the ad continues. “If you ever wondered if this president took Covid-19 seriously, look no further than who he put in charge of protecting America’s health: Jared Kushner, Trump’s Secretary Of Failure.”
- Brad Garrett called out Ellen DeGeneres on Twitter Friday, claiming that he knows multiple people who were mistreated by her and that it was “common knowledge.”
- Both DeGeneres and “The Ellen DeGeneres” show have come under fire recently, with BuzzFeed News reporting that former employees alleged that the show had a toxic work environment.
- Distributor WarnerMedia has opened an internal investigation into the workplace culture of “The Ellen DeGeneres Show.”
Everybody Loves Raymond” actor Brad Garrett called television personality Ellen DeGeneres out on Twitter Friday, saying that her mistreatment of people was “common knowledge.”
Yesterday, a letter that DeGeneres wrote to staff regarding recent allegations about the culture on “The Ellen DeGeneres Show,” obtained by The Hollywood Reporter, went public. Today, Garrett tweeted a link to a Variety article about the letter, writing, “Sorry but it comes from the top @TheEllenShow Know more than one who were treated horribly by her. Common knowledge.”
In the letter itself, DeGeneres wrote, “On day one of our show, I told everyone in our first meeting that The Ellen DeGeneres Show would be a place of happiness — no one would ever raise their voice, and everyone would be treated with respect. Obviously, something changed, and I am disappointed to learn that this has not been the case. And for that, I am sorry. Anyone who knows me knows it’s the opposite of what I believe and what I hoped for our show.”
“My name is on the show and everything we do and I take responsibility for that,” she also said. DeGeneres did not address any allegations against her specifically in the letter.
Mike. In a recent post, you said you’ve been to Tennessee and Georgia, giving speeches and filming for your new show. Before that, you were on the road shooting for Dirty Jobs. Is it really so important to film a television show in the midst of pandemic? Is it responsible of you to encourage this kind of behavior when infection rates are spiking? Don’t you watch the news? More and more cases every day – aren’t you concerned? Darlene Gabon
Of course, I’m concerned. I’m just not petrified.
On March 15th, the day after my part of the country was locked down, I posted a link to an interview with Dr. Michael Osterholm. I’m posting it again, because I believe you and everyone else in the country would benefit from listening carefully to what he has to say.
Black Lives Matter “protesters” are sociopathic thugs who openly defy the law in the name of a career criminal, so it should come as no surprise that they have branched out from looting, arson, and vandalism into extortion:
A letter sent from activists to businesses and non-profits in the East Market District of downtown Louisville, also referred to as NuLu (New Louisville), made a series of demands related to racial reparations and reportedly threatened consequences if the demands were not met.
Formally announced consequences of not complying with the thugs’ demands include “Reduction in Racial Index Score,” “Social Media Blast,” “Boycott,” “Protest,” and “Invasive Reclamation.”
CLEVELAND (AP) — President Donald Trump billed his trip to Ohio Thursday as a chance to promote economic recovery, but he quickly pivoted to a deeply personal attack on Joe Biden, even questioning without foundation the former vice president’s faith in God.
Even for a president known for his blunt criticism, Trump’s remarks stood out and they signaled how contentious the campaign may get over the coming months.
“He’s following the radical left agenda, take away your guns, destroy your 2nd Amendment, no religion, no anything, hurt the Bible, hurt God. He’s against God. He’s against guns. He’s against energy, our kind of energy. I don’t think he’s going to do too well in Ohio,” Trump said.
Biden called the remarks beneath the office he holds. “For President Trump to attack my faith is shameful,” Biden said.
Trump also used his trip to Ohio to talk trade, telling workers at a Whirlpool plant, “I will stand up to the foreign trade cheaters and violators that hate our country.”
Barely one month after a new North America trade agreement went into effect, Trump announced his intention to reimpose 10% tariffs on aluminum imported from Canada, saying that United States Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer has advised him the step was necessary to defend the U.S. aluminum industry. However, the move also sets up the possibility of retaliation against U.S. companies and producers.
“Canada was taking advantage of us as usual,” Trump said.
The administration said the president had exempted Canada last year from tariffs he had imposed as long as imports of steel and aluminum from Canada remained at historical levels. But there has been a surge that has intensified in recent months despite a contraction in U.S. demand.
Trump also sought to remind voters of the economic prosperity that much of the nation enjoyed before the coronavirus pandemic and said that he is best suited to rebuild a crippled economy. But his handling of the outbreak has weakened his bid for a second term, causing Trump to spend time and resources in a state he won easily in 2016 but now could be in danger of slipping away.
New York State Attorney General Letitia James will make a “major national announcement” today.
The NY AG released a statement saying she’ll speak from her office at 11:30 a.m. Thursday, but offered no other details.
Some reports suggest James’ announcement will be related to New York state investigations into President Donald Trump’s businesses. The New York Times reported Wednesday that Deutsche Bank has turned over Trump’s financial records after the Manhattan District Attorney’s office issued a subpoena last year.
The Daily Beast reports the documents may show evidence of fraud, widening the probe into hush money payments made to women who said they had affairs with Trump. The president’s former personal lawyer Michael Cohen testified last year that Trump inflated his net worth by about $4 billion in a loan application to Deutsche Bank for a 2014 bid on the Buffalo Bills.
AG James also subpoenaed Deutsche Bank for records related to Trump last year following Cohen’s testimony, according to the Associated Press.
Deutsche Bank, which was also subpoenaed in Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s Russia investigation, has lent the Trump Organization more than $2 billion since the 1990s. Trump reportedly owed as much as $300 million to the German bank over deals before his election in 2016, including for a hotel in Washington, D.C.
Manhattan District Attorney District Attorney Cyrus R. Vance, Jr. said Monday he was seeking Trump’s tax returns going back eight years, citing public reports of “extensive and protracted criminal conduct at the Trump Organization.” Trump’s lawyers last month said the grand jury subpoena for the tax returns was issued in bad faith and amounted to harassment of the president.
Trump said Monday that the DA’s investigation is a ”continuation of the witch hunt.”
“They failed with Mueller,” he told reporters at the White House. “They failed with everything. They failed with Congress. They failed at every stage of the game. This has been going on for three and a half, four years.”
Gov. Andrew Cuomo signed a law last year preventing the president from issuing pardons for state crimes in New York. Supporters said New York’s broad double jeopardy law didn’t explicitly give state prosecutors a green light to bring charges when a defendant has received a federal pardon, ensuring state investigations into Trump and his associates would not be derailed by a presidential pardon.
You would think advising the president of the US was a full-time job. Yet Donald’s daughter and son-in-law found time for a few side hustles.
ike many millennials, Ivanka Trump and Jared Kushner juggle their day jobs with side hustles – and boy have they been hustling. New financial disclosures show that the gruesome twosome made between $36.2m (£27.7m) and $157m in combined outside income while they worked in the White House last year. (It is impossible to pinpoint the exact amount because they are each required only to report within a number of very large ranges, but suffice to say they are not struggling.)
Unlike many millennials, Javanka are not rustling up extra cash by walking dogs or selling T-shirts. So where does their money come from? I would love to be able to tell you, but the thing about ludicrously rich people is that their finances tend to be incredibly opaque. A cynic might say this is by design – that many of the 1% hide their wealth behind complex legal arrangements to avoid taxes and obscure dodgy dealings.
I am not accusing the Kushner-Trumps of anything so sordid – the US president’s senior advisers are devoted public servants, after all. However, there are items on their disclosure documents that raise interesting questions.
- Arwa Mahdawi is a Guardian columnist
Biden Will Beat Trump, Says Historian Who Predicted Every Presidential Race Since “1984”
- Historian Allan Lichtman, who has correctly predicted every presidential election since 1984 has announced his pick for 2020: Presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden
- Lichtman’s prediction model looks at 13 different categories, dubbed the “Keys to the White House,” that have more to do with the record of the incumbent party occupying the White House than the nominees themselves.
- “The keys predict that Trump will lose the White House,” Lichtman said in an op-ed video for The New York Times.
The historian who has correctly predicted every presidential election since 1984 – including President Donald Trump’s win in 2016 – has announced his pick for 2020: Presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden.
Allan Lichtman, an author and history professor at American University, revealed his prediction in an op-ed video for The New York Times published Wednesday.
Lichtman’s predictive method – which puts him squarely in the minority of analysts who were right in calling Trump’s win – largely ignores the detailed cross-tab polling analyses and swing state bean counting that are often prioritized in modern political punditry.
“The pollsters and the pundits cover elections as though they were horse races,” Lichtman said in the Times’ video. “But history tells us voters are not fooled by the tricks of the campaign. Voters vote pragmatically according to how well the party holding the White House has governed the country.”
Polls are “snapshots in time,” Lichtman said. “None of this in the end has any impact whatsoever on the outcome of a presidential election.”
Lichtman’s prediction model looks at 13 different categories, dubbed the “Keys to the White House,” that have more to do with the record of the incumbent party occupying the White House than the nominees themselves.
The keys are presented as true-false statements, framed to favor a win for the incumbent party if true. But if six or more of the statements are false, the challenger – in this case, Biden – is predicted to win the election.
Lichtman’s verdict? “The keys predict that Trump will lose the White House.”
Trump campaign communications director Tim Murtaugh pushed back on that prediction in a statement to CNBC.
“This is an election like no other in history and the choice couldn’t be more clear – between President Trump’s established record of accomplishment for all Americans and Joe Biden’s 47 years of failure and acquiescence to the extreme left,” Murtaugh said. “American voters will decide this election, not academics or professors.”
The model favors Biden on seven of the 13 prompts. They touch on issues such as which party has a mandate – Republicans lost House seats in the 2018 midterms – and the short-term and long-term economy under Trump.
“The [coronavirus] pandemic has pushed the economy into recession,” Lichtman said in the video.
Despite his impressive track record, Lichtman’s simple-seeming model has its skeptics. Nate Silver, the writer and analyst at FiveThirtyEight who was famously correct in predicting every state outcome in the 2012 election, wrote in 2011 that Lichtman’s results “should be taken with a grain of salt.”
Lichtman himself offers a note of caution in his video for the Times. “There are forces at play outside the keys,” he said, such as voter suppression and potential Russian election meddling.
The Trump and Biden campaigns did not immediately respond to CNBC’s requests for comment.h
Statue of Christ carrying the cross at the front of the Holy Cross Church in Warsaw.
On the night of July 28-29, activists dressed in black attached a rainbow flag to the statue’s arm and a scarf with an anarchist symbol across Christ’s face, leaving behind a card containing their LGBT rights manifesto
SOURCE: National Catholic Register
WARSAW, Poland — A Polish cardinal has urged protesters to respect religious sensibilities after they attached a rainbow flag to a historic statue of Christ in the capital, Warsaw.
In a statement published on the Polish bishops’ conference website July 29, Cardinal Kazimierz Nycz deplored the protesters’ decision to target the statue outside Holy Cross Church on Krakowskie Przedmieście, one of the city’s best-known streets.
The statue, which depicts Christ carrying the cross and pointing to the sky, sits on a plinth inscribed with the words Sursum corda (Lift up your hearts) — a message that has encouraged Poles during some of the darkest times in their history.
Placed outside the church in 1858, it remained standing during the Warsaw Uprising in 1944. The Nazis, who destroyed up to 90% of the city’s buildings in response to the Uprising, eventually toppled the statue.
A photograph from the time shows the broken statue lying amid rubble with its finger pointed to the Sursum Corda inscription above, which was seen as a sign of God’s providence amid the Nazi occupation.
Cardinal Nycz, the Metropolitan Archbishop of Warsaw, said: “The desecration of the historic statue of Christ Sursum corda at Krakowskie Przedmieście in Warsaw caused pain to believers, parishioners of the Holy Cross Church and many residents of the capital, for whom the statue of the Savior carrying the cross became a symbol of hope in the most difficult days of the Uprising.”
“I appeal for respect for the religious feelings of believers regardless of their views. Let us stop using acts of vandalism and crossing borders in public debate.”
Poland’s Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki was pictured praying at the foot of the statue on July 29. In a statement on his Twitter account, he wrote: “There is no consent to profaning national and religious symbols in the name of any ideology. The values they symbolize, important to millions of Poles, are a heritage that is subject to special protection. You cannot become an aggressor under the guise of supposed equality.”
On the night of July 28-29, activists dressed in black attached a rainbow flag to the statue’s arm and a scarf with an anarchist symbol across Christ’s face, leaving behind a card containing their LGBT rights manifesto. Protesters also targeted other prominent monuments in the city.
The incident took place weeks after a hard-fought presidential election narrowly won by the incumbent, President Andrzej Duda, who is associated with the ruling Law and Justice Party (PiS).
On June 10, Duda signed a “Family Charter” opposing same-sex marriage and adoption, and committing himself to the “protection of children from LGBT ideology.”
Sebastian Kaleta, Poland’s vice-minister of justice, referred the statue incident to the prosecutor’s office, arguing that it broke laws related to offending religious feelings and profaning national monuments.
The Polish daily newpaper Gazeta Wyborcza reported July 30 that the prosecutor’s office had opened an investigation.
The office of the district attorney, Cyrus R. Vance Jr., made the disclosure in a new court filing arguing Mr. Trump’s accountants should turn over his taxBy
By William K. Rashbaum and
The Manhattan district attorney’s office suggested on Monday that it had been investigating President Trump and his company for possible bank and insurance fraud, a significantly broader inquiry than the prosecutors have acknowledged in the past.
The suggestion by the office of the district attorney, Cyrus R. Vance Jr., came in a new federal court filing arguing that Mr. Trump’s accountants should have to comply with a grand jury subpoena seeking eight years of his personal and corporate tax returns. Mr. Trump has asked a judge to declare the subpoena invalid.
Until now, the district attorney’s inquiry had appeared largely focused on hush-money payments made in the run-up to the 2016 presidential election to two women who said they had affairs with Mr. Trump.
In the new filing, the prosecutors did not explicitly identify the matters under scrutiny in the grand jury inquiry, which by law is conducted in secret. But they said that “undisputed” assertions in earlier court papers and several news reports about Mr. Trump’s business practices showed that the office had a wide legal basis for the subpoena.
“In light of these public reports of possibly extensive and protracted criminal conduct at the Trump Organization,” there was nothing improper or even unusual about the subpoena, the filing said.
The prosecutors cited newspaper reports, including one that concluded the president may have illegally inflated his net worth and the value of his properties to lenders and insurers. They also included an article on the congressional testimony of his former lawyer and fixer, Michael D. Cohen, who told lawmakers last year that the president had committed insurance fraud. Lawyers for the president have denied wrongdoing.